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Red27
718813.7
87289.3
60997.9
Blue26
332219.4
233723.9
353815.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3378020601001201401602726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7188
#20
13.70.6
15.615.1
Auto8.2
Teleop3.6
End1.9
blue by 10.2
2337
#19
23.93.0
29.726.8
Auto5.8
Teleop15.8
End2.3
Second
8728
#22
9.30.6
9.89.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End0.2
blue by 10.0
3322
#10
19.43.0
23.020.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Third
6099
#26
7.90.6
9.89.3
Auto5.8
Teleop1.0
End1.0
blue by 7.5
3538
#24
15.43.0
13.010.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsMissed