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Red33
481012.7
24517.6
77218.5
Blue19
543618.2
20114.1
148119.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61710501001503319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#28
18.51.6
20.218.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 0.6
1481
#23
19.13.1
22.018.9
Auto11.2
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Second
245
#13
17.61.6
23.021.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.4
End1.0
blue by 0.5
5436
#21
18.23.1
24.421.3
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Third
4810
#17
12.71.6
13.612.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 1.4
201
#30
14.13.1
17.114.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed