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Red52
828010.5
60997.9
22626.3
Blue61
718813.7
6816.8
3341.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528801001505261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#8
26.30.1
30.930.9
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End1.8
blue by 15.0
33
#1
41.31.1
40.038.9
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End2.2
Second
8280
#32
10.50.1
10.911.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End1.9
blue by 6.3
68
#25
16.81.1
19.918.8
Auto8.0
Teleop6.8
End1.9
Third
6099
#26
7.90.1
9.39.4
Auto5.8
Teleop1.0
End1.0
blue by 5.9
7188
#20
13.71.1
15.114.0
Auto8.2
Teleop3.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsMissed