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Red61
86213.8
50323.7
481012.7
Blue57
77218.5
353815.4
571229.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556401001502006157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#4
23.70.7
25.826.4
Auto13.4
Teleop9.2
End1.0
blue by 5.5
29.20.0
28.628.6
Auto11.8
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Second
862
#14
13.80.7
13.414.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End0.8
blue by 4.7
772
#28
18.50.0
18.618.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Third
4810
#17
12.70.7
12.012.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 2.7
3538
#24
15.40.0
10.010.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed