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Red40
353923.5
75986.9
87289.3
Blue53
283221.5
30219.2
24517.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4079020601001201404053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.7
23.823.1
Auto10.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7
red by 2.0
2832
#12
21.51.4
23.822.4
Auto10.7
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Second
8728
#22
9.30.7
9.38.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End0.2
blue by 9.9
302
#3
19.21.4
21.420.1
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Third
7598
#27
6.90.7
7.16.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End0.8
blue by 10.7
245
#13
17.61.4
21.420.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed