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Red40
543618.2
46918.3
296013.7
Blue59
233723.9
317520.7
2743.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601120501001504059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#18
18.31.4
21.219.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End0.2
blue by 24.9
27
#2
43.22.5
44.341.8
Auto16.1
Teleop23.8
End3.4
Second
5436
#21
18.21.4
21.319.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 5.7
2337
#19
23.92.5
26.824.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.8
End2.3
Third
2960
#31
13.71.4
18.116.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End3.5
blue by 6.9
20.72.5
23.921.4
Auto10.8
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed