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Red56
150622.0
718813.7
50323.7
Blue97
3341.3
54822.8
86213.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70870204060801001205697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#4
23.70.6
26.425.8
Auto13.4
Teleop9.2
End1.0
blue by 17.7
33
#1
41.30.5
38.939.4
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End2.2
Second
1506
#16
22.00.6
24.924.3
Auto9.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 0.7
548
#11
22.80.5
23.724.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Third
7188
#20
13.70.6
14.013.4
Auto8.2
Teleop3.6
End1.9
blue by 0.1
862
#14
13.80.5
14.114.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed