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Red46
283221.5
75986.9
77218.5
Blue52
571229.2
332219.4
56950.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54532030405060704652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#12
21.50.4
22.422.0
Auto10.7
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 7.7
29.20.1
28.628.4
Auto11.8
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Second
772
#28
18.50.4
18.618.2
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 0.8
3322
#10
19.40.1
20.920.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Third
7598
#27
6.90.4
6.56.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End0.8
red by 6.2
5695
#29
0.70.1
0.30.2
Auto1.2
Teleop-1.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed