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Red67
56950.7
24517.6
2743.2
Blue59
571229.2
481012.7
718813.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675901001502002503003506759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#2
43.20.5
41.441.9
Auto16.1
Teleop23.8
End3.4
red by 14.1
29.20.3
28.428.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Second
245
#13
17.60.5
18.118.6
Auto6.3
Teleop10.4
End1.0
red by 3.9
7188
#20
13.70.3
13.413.7
Auto8.2
Teleop3.6
End1.9
Third
5695
#29
0.70.5
0.20.7
Auto1.2
Teleop-1.3
End0.8
blue by 12.0
4810
#17
12.70.3
12.312.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed