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Red38
75986.9
828010.5
54822.8
Blue86
341427.8
87289.3
317520.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39650501001503886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#11
22.80.0
21.621.5
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End1.0
blue by 5.0
27.80.9
27.928.8
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End2.3
Second
8280
#32
10.50.0
10.610.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End1.9
blue by 10.2
20.70.9
19.520.4
Auto10.8
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Third
7598
#27
6.90.0
6.06.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End0.8
blue by 2.4
8728
#22
9.30.9
8.29.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed