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Red49
46918.3
30219.2
332219.4
Blue40
150622.0
353815.4
6816.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686102040801001204940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#10
19.41.4
20.819.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.2
blue by 2.7
1506
#16
22.01.2
24.223.0
Auto9.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Second
302
#3
19.21.4
20.318.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End3.9
red by 2.5
68
#25
16.81.2
18.116.9
Auto8.0
Teleop6.8
End1.9
Third
469
#18
18.31.4
19.518.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End0.2
red by 3.0
3538
#24
15.40.7
11.812.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned39%Ensemble oddsMissed