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Red52
296013.7
283221.5
148119.1
Blue60
50323.7
60997.9
543618.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6159203040507080905260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#12
21.50.3
22.021.6
Auto10.7
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 2.2
503
#4
23.70.4
25.826.2
Auto13.4
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Second
1481
#23
19.10.3
19.018.7
Auto11.2
Teleop7.0
End0.9
red by 0.9
5436
#21
18.20.4
20.220.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Third
2960
#31
13.70.3
14.113.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.5
End3.5
red by 5.9
6099
#26
7.90.4
7.47.9
Auto5.8
Teleop1.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed