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Red66
54822.8
283221.5
233723.9
Blue66
2743.2
77218.5
828010.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8586607080901001106666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#19
23.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.8
End2.3
blue by 19.4
27
#2
43.2
Auto16.1
Teleop23.8
End3.4
Second
548
#11
22.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 4.2
772
#28
18.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Third
2832
#12
21.5
Auto10.7
Teleop9.0
End1.8
red by 11.0
8280
#32
10.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed