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Red24
56950.7
6816.8
543618.2
Blue65
87289.3
86213.8
283418.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694601001502002502465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#21
18.22.5
31.228.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
blue by 0.3
2834
#15
18.50.3
17.217.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Second
68
#25
16.82.5
24.722.2
Auto8.0
Teleop6.8
End1.9
red by 2.9
862
#14
13.80.3
15.615.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Third
5695
#29
0.72.5
3.61.1
Auto1.2
Teleop-1.3
End0.8
blue by 8.7
8728
#22
9.30.3
11.311.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed