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Red48
54822.8
75986.9
283418.5
Blue44
571229.2
148119.1
30219.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498002040601001201404844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#11
22.80.1
22.822.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End1.0
blue by 6.4
29.20.6
29.729.2
Auto11.8
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Second
2834
#15
18.50.1
18.518.4
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 0.8
302
#3
19.20.6
19.819.2
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End3.9
Third
7598
#27
6.90.1
6.96.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End0.8
blue by 12.2
1481
#23
19.10.6
19.619.1
Auto11.2
Teleop7.0
End0.9