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Red65
22626.3
543618.2
50323.7
Blue62
283418.5
75986.9
54822.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864801001502006562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#8
26.30.6
28.127.5
Auto13.1
Teleop11.3
End1.8
red by 3.5
548
#11
22.80.1
22.722.8
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Second
503
#4
23.70.6
25.524.9
Auto13.4
Teleop9.2
End1.0
red by 5.2
2834
#15
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Third
5436
#21
18.20.6
20.019.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.9
red by 11.3
7598
#27
6.90.1
6.86.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End0.8