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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3933010205060704643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.2
15.817.0
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
red by 11.2
7226
#12
19.80.8
11.812.6
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Second
8373
#10
15.21.2
10.712.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.9
blue by 0.7
5577
#27
15.80.8
8.99.8
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
4568
#39
4.01.2
8.49.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.7
End0.1
blue by 2.9
7221
#26
7.00.8
10.010.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed