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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434220305060703634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#14
20.50.2
15.615.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End1.6
red by 2.1
18.40.5
18.017.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Second
4216
#25
9.70.2
13.513.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 3.9
8522
#13
13.60.5
9.48.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Third
6556
#34
3.70.2
9.08.8
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.3
blue by 6.2
8423
#36
9.90.5
11.310.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed