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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383302060801003010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#15
15.50.4
11.511.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
red by 1.5
6150
#16
13.92.3
11.18.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Second
13.30.4
10.810.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
red by 6.5
7254
#33
6.82.3
9.16.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
5205
#29
6.70.4
11.110.7
Auto0.6
Teleop5.4
End0.7
red by 0.8
5708
#30
5.92.3
10.27.9
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed