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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54260204060803510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.2
19.418.3
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
red by 15.3
5559
#20
8.71.9
9.57.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Second
15.31.2
12.411.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.9
red by 8.7
9210
#22
6.61.9
9.27.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
Third
4377
#21
9.81.2
13.812.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.7
red by 3.7
5704
#37
6.11.9
8.26.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed