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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41370102030506070802243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.71.6
12.310.7
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 0.6
7197
#11
20.31.0
14.415.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.8
Second
5676
#19
17.91.6
14.112.4
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End2.8
red by 3.7
5144
#18
14.21.0
11.412.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Third
9209
#35
5.51.6
10.48.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 0.2
9183
#32
5.71.0
7.98.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed