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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352810204050602931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#18
14.20.2
12.412.2
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 4.3
8423
#36
9.91.1
10.89.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Second
7790
#24
11.30.2
11.211.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
red by 4.5
7254
#33
6.81.1
6.85.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
8300
#28
6.70.2
7.37.1
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1
red by 3.0
6556
#34
3.71.1
8.87.6
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed