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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3645010203040506070802256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8373
#10
15.21.3
12.010.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.9
blue by 8.8
24.01.2
18.319.5
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
Second
4377
#21
9.81.3
12.711.4
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.7
blue by 6.9
16.61.2
12.613.9
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Third
8374
#40
6.31.3
8.77.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
blue by 7.3
8522
#13
13.61.2
8.910.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed