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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4144203050603160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.8
17.016.2
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End2.4
red by 6.2
7197
#11
20.31.1
15.416.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.8
Second
7226
#12
19.80.8
12.611.8
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
red by 0.1
8728
#17
19.71.1
13.915.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Third
6591
#38
6.50.8
8.37.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 6.8
13.31.1
10.411.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed