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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3822010305060705317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#12
19.81.1
11.813.0
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
red by 13.3
6591
#38
6.50.6
7.67.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Second
5676
#19
17.91.1
13.614.7
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End2.8
red by 11.6
8374
#40
6.30.6
7.56.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Third
5559
#20
8.71.1
7.48.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
red by 2.8
5708
#30
5.90.6
7.06.4
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed