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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27530204060801001202839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8424
#23
14.60.0
6.56.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.2
blue by 9.3
24.00.6
19.518.9
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
Second
13.30.0
11.511.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
blue by 6.4
19.70.6
15.514.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Third
8423
#36
9.90.0
9.69.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
red by 4.1
3773
#31
5.70.6
9.89.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed