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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39562060801004445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#14
20.50.3
20.320.0
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End1.6
blue by 10.4
30.90.9
24.823.9
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
Second
8522
#13
13.60.3
10.19.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
blue by 1.6
15.30.9
12.811.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.9
Third
9183
#32
5.70.3
7.16.8
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.3
blue by 5.6
7790
#24
11.30.9
10.89.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed