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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20340103040506070437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7254
#33
6.81.7
5.73.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 7.1
6150
#16
13.90.9
7.78.6
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Second
8374
#40
6.31.7
6.95.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
blue by 3.4
4216
#25
9.70.9
13.714.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Third
9209
#35
5.51.7
6.95.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End1.0
red by 1.5
4568
#39
4.00.9
7.68.5
Auto1.2
Teleop2.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed