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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642102030506070802540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.41.5
17.115.6
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
blue by 1.3
19.70.1
14.915.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Second
6591
#38
6.51.5
7.05.5
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 3.3
4377
#21
9.80.1
11.211.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Third
3773
#31
5.71.5
9.17.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 1.2
7221
#26
7.00.1
10.911.1
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed