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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4426010203040506070804531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#11
20.30.8
17.718.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.8
red by 7.0
13.30.1
11.611.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Second
16.60.8
14.415.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 10.8
5708
#30
5.90.1
6.46.3
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Third
5704
#37
6.10.8
5.46.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 2.4
6556
#34
3.70.1
7.67.5
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed