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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4221010305060707112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#27
15.81.8
10.011.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End1.2
red by 1.2
8424
#23
14.61.0
6.55.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Second
8373
#10
15.21.8
11.213.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.9
red by 8.5
5205
#29
6.71.0
8.17.1
Auto0.6
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Third
5144
#18
14.21.8
14.015.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 8.5
9183
#32
5.71.0
6.85.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed