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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532102040503541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8728
#17
19.70.2
16.316.4
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.9
red by 3.1
16.61.3
15.316.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Second
8423
#36
9.90.2
8.99.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 4.1
6150
#16
13.91.3
8.69.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Third
5704
#37
6.10.2
6.26.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 0.5
9209
#35
5.51.3
5.26.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed