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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34470204060801002850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#11
20.31.0
18.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.8
blue by 10.7
30.91.0
23.924.9
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
Second
7790
#24
11.31.0
9.98.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
red by 4.3
7221
#26
7.01.0
11.112.1
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Third
7254
#33
6.81.0
3.92.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 0.2
9210
#22
6.61.0
5.86.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed