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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4031102050601225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#14
20.52.5
20.017.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End1.6
red by 6.9
8522
#13
13.60.4
9.89.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Second
5708
#30
5.92.5
6.33.8
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 7.4
13.30.4
11.511.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
4568
#39
4.02.5
8.56.0
Auto1.2
Teleop2.7
End0.1
blue by 1.7
3773
#31
5.70.4
7.67.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed