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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3449204060805950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#12
19.82.9
14.217.1
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
red by 1.4
18.40.6
15.616.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Second
8373
#10
15.22.9
13.015.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.9
blue by 2.7
5676
#19
17.90.6
19.219.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Third
8424
#23
14.62.9
5.58.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.2
red by 10.9
6556
#34
3.70.6
7.58.2
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed