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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306302040801001202479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#11
20.30.8
17.516.7
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.8
blue by 8.1
28.31.8
21.022.8
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Second
3773
#31
5.70.8
7.26.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 12.6
18.41.8
16.318.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Third
9209
#35
5.50.8
6.55.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 9.6
8373
#10
15.21.8
15.917.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned