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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33481020406070803452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.2
16.616.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
blue by 7.3
24.00.3
21.021.4
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
Second
5577
#27
15.80.2
12.512.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End1.2
blue by 4.0
7226
#12
19.80.3
17.117.5
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Third
7254
#33
6.80.2
2.93.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 0.9
5708
#30
5.90.3
3.84.1
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed