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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4530010204050607080628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.72.0
15.817.7
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 8.4
7790
#24
11.32.3
8.86.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Second
15.32.0
12.314.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.9
red by 8.3
7221
#26
7.02.3
12.19.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Third
13.32.0
11.113.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
red by 9.6
6556
#34
3.72.3
8.25.8
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed