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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295602040801001571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4216
#25
9.71.6
13.612.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.0
blue by 16.7
26.42.0
20.222.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End2.4
Second
5559
#20
8.71.6
9.98.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 11.8
3414
#14
20.52.0
17.519.5
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Third
9183
#32
5.71.6
5.74.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.3
blue by 8.2
6150
#16
13.92.0
9.912.0
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed