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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254202060803839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8728
#17
19.71.4
16.417.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.9
red by 1.8
5676
#19
17.90.8
19.819.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.6
End2.8
Second
8300
#28
6.71.4
4.45.8
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 3.1
4377
#21
9.80.8
9.68.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.7
Third
8374
#40
6.31.4
4.25.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
blue by 0.3
9210
#22
6.60.8
6.86.0
Auto1.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed