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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6215040801001205646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.4
22.823.2
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 14.7
8522
#13
13.61.7
9.210.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Second
16.60.4
16.817.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 9.8
7254
#33
6.81.7
3.14.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
8424
#23
14.60.4
10.510.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.2
red by 8.2
6591
#38
6.51.7
6.68.2
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned