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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333901020506070803552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#11
20.30.5
16.717.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.8
red by 4.4
5577
#27
15.81.4
12.714.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Second
5559
#20
8.70.5
8.38.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 6.8
5066
#15
15.51.4
10.011.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Third
6556
#34
3.70.5
5.86.3
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.3
blue by 6.0
4216
#25
9.71.4
12.013.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed