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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3239010205060705521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.72.3
17.720.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 4.5
8373
#10
15.22.0
17.715.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Second
8300
#28
6.72.3
5.88.1
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 0.3
7221
#26
7.02.0
9.77.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Third
9210
#22
6.62.3
6.08.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
red by 0.5
5704
#37
6.12.0
6.74.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed