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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62502040801006052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.5
27.026.5
Auto9.8
Teleop18.4
End2.8
red by 7.0
24.00.1
21.421.4
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
Second
18.40.5
18.017.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
blue by 2.1
3414
#14
20.50.1
19.519.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Third
5205
#29
6.70.5
9.38.8
Auto0.6
Teleop5.4
End0.7
red by 1.2
9209
#35
5.50.1
5.75.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed