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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47300204060801005231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.3
22.323.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.9
End2.4
red by 12.2
5144
#18
14.20.2
16.116.3
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Second
15.31.3
14.315.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.9
red by 5.4
8423
#36
9.90.2
7.47.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End1.3
Third
5708
#30
5.91.3
4.15.4
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 0.4
8374
#40
6.30.2
5.65.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed