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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343610203040502550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8728
#17
19.71.4
17.916.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End0.9
blue by 4.2
24.01.9
21.423.3
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End1.1
Second
3773
#31
5.71.4
6.45.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 5.6
7790
#24
11.32.0
6.58.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
Third
6556
#34
3.71.3
6.35.0
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.3
blue by 2.0
9183
#32
5.72.0
4.26.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed