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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2458040801002073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8522
#13
13.60.8
10.910.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
blue by 14.7
28.31.9
23.225.1
Auto9.4
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Second
5559
#20
8.70.8
8.88.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 11.0
19.71.9
20.021.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Third
9209
#35
5.50.8
5.75.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 1.3
7254
#33
6.81.9
4.86.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed