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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31520204060803062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.61.1
17.316.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
blue by 3.9
3414
#14
20.50.2
19.619.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Second
7221
#26
7.01.1
7.76.6
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 13.3
7197
#11
20.30.2
17.117.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.8
Third
4568
#39
4.01.1
5.44.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.7
End0.1
blue by 2.7
8300
#28
6.70.2
8.18.3
Auto1.2
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsEarned