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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34430102030506070805541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5066
#15
15.52.4
11.313.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
blue by 2.9
18.40.4
17.517.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Second
6150
#16
13.92.4
11.614.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 1.9
5577
#27
15.80.4
14.114.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
7790
#24
11.32.4
8.510.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End0.4
red by 5.0
8374
#40
6.30.4
5.96.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed