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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44482030406070802245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.31.9
15.613.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End0.9
blue by 4.5
7226
#12
19.80.0
17.117.1
Auto10.4
Teleop8.0
End1.4
Second
5144
#18
14.21.9
16.314.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 0.9
13.30.0
12.712.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
9210
#22
6.61.9
8.36.4
Auto1.4
Teleop4.9
End0.3
blue by 3.1
4216
#25
9.70.0
13.413.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed